PolyBot

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Traders

M1nus

0xcecf8d78b602799aededfc3bbc61a1aeea78e9cd

Realised P&L
$-125.65
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$170.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.8360.945$90.41+$10.41
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.7600.958$37.80+$7.80
Trump out as President before GTA VI? · No0.5000.500$20.00+$0.00
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · No0.5000.500$10.00+$0.00
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? · Yes0.4810.215$4.47$5.53
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1400.055$1.96$3.04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1200.040$1.32$2.68
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3220.065$1.21$4.79
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · Yes0.4900.175$1.07$1.93
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.027$0.96$4.04
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1500.029$0.76$3.24
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1000.018$0.36$1.64
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.0390.011$0.27$0.73
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes0.0700.015$0.22$0.78
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? · Yes0.0800.002$0.02$0.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-30 18:25Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
05-30 18:23US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
05-30 18:23US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.429999828$1.00
03-02 02:18Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.5599999776$5.00
01-28 15:25Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?BUY0.7299999827$8.00
01-24 01:47Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
01-24 01:46US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
01-24 01:45Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.181$2.22
01-20 19:30Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?BUY0.0839999294$1.00
01-19 22:36Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?BUY0.4199999272$3.00
01-19 22:35Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.5799999265$3.00
01-19 22:34Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1199999748$4.00
01-15 18:47Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?BUY0.4899999951$3.00
01-13 17:18Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.229999916$2.00
01-13 17:14US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?BUY0.64$11.00