ayyatollah
0xcecf865c90564beb5294a807bcf884fb644ee206
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $2.65M
- Markets traded
- 257
- Open portfolio
- $9.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded257
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.49at 0.004UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion
- +$31.67at 0.032Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
- +$30.93at 0.450US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
- +$29.47at 0.005Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
- +$28.67at 0.006GTA VI released before June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 06:33 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 06:33 | US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.33 |
| 05-22 06:32 | Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.90 |
| 05-22 06:32 | Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.93 |
| 05-22 06:32 | Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.013 | $3.05 |
| 05-22 06:32 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.42 |
| 05-22 06:32 | Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.67 |
| 05-22 06:32 | Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.04 |
| 05-22 06:32 | Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in May 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $3.78 |
| 05-22 06:32 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.008 | $9.57 |
| 05-22 06:32 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.008 | $8.60 |
| 05-22 06:32 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.008 | $16.61 |
| 05-20 04:54 | Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? | SELL | 0.005 | $7.18 |
| 05-19 20:24 | Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.35 |
| 05-19 20:23 | Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? | SELL | 0.009 | $34.41 |