0xcecb9c507677f592dfbf596f15d4c7c68b01b6af
0xcecb9c507677f592dfbf596f15d4c7c68b01b6af
- Realised P&L
- $-5.35
- Volume
- $189.72
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $6.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.330 | 0.425 | $2.58 | +$0.58 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.710 | $2.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.195 | $1.86 | −$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$3.08at 0.400Will Trump say "Think About It" during remarks in New York?
- +$2.59at 0.442Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.59at 0.442Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$2.29at 0.472Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 18:29 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 10:27 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 02:27 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 02:57 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 17:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 08:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 00:31 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 00:11 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 08:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 21:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 08:25 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 16:43 | Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 05:48 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 21:47 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |