PolyBot

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Traders

0xcecb9c507677f592dfbf596f15d4c7c68b01b6af

0xcecb9c507677f592dfbf596f15d4c7c68b01b6af

Realised P&L
$-5.35
Volume
$189.72
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$6.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.3300.425$2.58+$0.58
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.6500.710$2.18+$0.18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.2100.195$1.86$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 02:30Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
09-22 18:29Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-22 10:27Will Trump say "Data Center" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.75$2.00
09-22 02:27Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3299999489$2.00
09-19 02:57Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.5299999868$2.00
09-17 17:01Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$2.00
09-17 08:34Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.4599999034$2.00
09-16 00:31Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4299999807$2.00
09-16 00:11Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.7499999063$2.00
09-07 08:30US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
09-03 21:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
09-03 08:25Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.76$2.00
08-20 16:43Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
08-17 05:48Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-16 21:47Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.5899999675$2.00