grinlorber
0xcec1c3e1d71d4cf66981bf5f55e1887049409c0c
- Realised P&L
- $17.7k
- Volume
- $2.60M
- Markets traded
- 2,527
- Open portfolio
- $269.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,527
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolentino: Veronika Erjavec vs Nuria Brancaccio · Nuria Brancaccio | 0.327 | 0.565 | $57.63 | +$24.31 |
| Tolentino: Veronika Erjavec vs Nuria Brancaccio · Veronika Erjavec | 0.487 | 0.435 | $36.98 | −$4.42 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs · Miami Marlins | 0.361 | 0.365 | $21.30 | +$0.22 |
| LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs · Shopify Rebellion | 0.270 | 0.265 | $13.32 | −$0.25 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.555 | 0.635 | $12.69 | +$1.60 |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) · Miami Marlins | 0.600 | 0.700 | $10.50 | +$1.50 |
| New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.316 | 0.625 | $9.09 | +$4.50 |
| Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.665 | 0.830 | $8.30 | +$1.65 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.262 | 0.190 | $7.95 | −$3.02 |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) · Chicago Cubs | 0.350 | 0.300 | $7.34 | −$1.23 |
| Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) · Miami Marlins | 0.238 | 0.200 | $6.20 | −$1.19 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.237 | 0.140 | $5.18 | −$3.58 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 · Under | 0.354 | 0.290 | $4.64 | −$1.03 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.384 | 0.310 | $4.25 | −$1.02 |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) · Miami Marlins | 0.650 | 0.830 | $4.15 | +$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.0kat 0.347Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B
- +$8.2kat 0.534Warriors vs. Clippers
- +$7.8kat 0.256Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$6.9kat 0.515Suns vs. Thunder
- +$6.6kat 0.349Warriors vs. Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 12:57 | Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.23 | $11.58 |
| 09-24 10:28 | LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | BUY | 0.27 | $13.57 |
| 09-24 00:30 | Will Aruba vs. Antigua and Barbuda end in a draw? | BUY | 0.38 | $10.26 |
| 09-23 20:52 | Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.28 | $14.30 |
| 09-23 17:11 | Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.27 | $13.72 |
| 09-23 16:17 | Birmingham Legion FC vs. Brooklyn FC: Birmingham Legion FC O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.35 | $18.02 |
| 09-23 16:16 | Birmingham Legion FC vs. Brooklyn FC: Birmingham Legion FC O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.35 | $17.88 |
| 09-22 20:49 | Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3980237154 | $20.14 |
| 09-22 20:48 | Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4 | $20.17 |
| 09-22 20:45 | Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.31 | $15.94 |
| 09-22 20:39 | Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4 | $9.20 |
| 09-22 20:37 | Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3870338145 | $19.57 |
| 09-22 19:16 | Counter-Strike: Low Cortisol vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.32 | $16.36 |
| 09-22 18:15 | Counter-Strike: Low Cortisol vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.36 | $18.27 |
| 09-22 14:25 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.34 | $17.26 |