stealthresearch
0xcebfb5d7a1fb7dfcedb9d984ac22632fc13a7a98
- Realised P&L
- $276.88
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $9.87
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.390 | 0.385 | $9.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-09? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? · No | 0.361 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.35 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? · Yes | 0.457 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.13 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? · Yes | 0.892 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.26at 0.564Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?
- +$110.78at 0.656Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
- +$54.60at 0.636Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?
- +$46.80at 0.512Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?
- +$44.58at 0.108Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:27 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.62 | $18.60 |
| 09-17 16:17 | Counter-Strike: Metizport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 22:08 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 17:08 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.6199999991 | $200.00 |
| 09-12 13:45 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 13:53 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.029 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 17:48 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $6.25 |
| 09-09 16:42 | Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 09-08 19:45 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 15:51 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 15:41 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 08-30 13:01 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.529999999 | $140.00 |
| 08-28 18:44 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.6 | $90.00 |
| 08-24 18:25 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | BUY | 0.4799999962 | $46.00 |
| 08-22 10:56 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |