dsadsawq
0xcebf2e47bf23b01a2dc7db9a21b06860f3aea2fb
- Realised P&L
- $283.26
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $112.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.845 | $29.62 | −$0.18 |
| Spread: Celtics (-17.5) · Magic | 0.848 | 1.000 | $23.27 | +$3.53 |
| Spread: Clippers (-9.5) · Warriors | 0.817 | 0.785 | $22.82 | −$0.92 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.570 | $20.00 | +$0.00 |
| Raptors vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.590 | 0.585 | $8.78 | −$0.07 |
| Nets vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.620 | 0.515 | $7.72 | −$1.57 |
| Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers · Trail Blazers | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$217.41at 0.569Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$150.45at 0.429Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$93.76at 0.857Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)
- +$81.87at 0.864Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)
- +$52.69at 0.582Cavaliers vs. 76ers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:49 | Raptors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.59 | $8.85 |
| 11-01 18:45 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? | BUY | 0.85 | $29.80 |
| 11-01 18:45 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 18:40 | Nets vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.62 | $9.30 |
| 11-01 18:39 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $79.79 |
| 11-01 06:34 | Spread: Celtics (-17.5) | BUY | 0.8478524486 | $19.74 |
| 11-01 06:30 | Spread: Clippers (-9.5) | BUY | 0.8165600275 | $23.74 |
| 11-01 00:20 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.8699999991 | $69.49 |
| 11-01 00:18 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.5799999836 | $9.90 |
| 11-01 00:16 | Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 143.5 | BUY | 0.7299999856 | $7.62 |
| 10-31 08:11 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.6 | $9.78 |
| 10-31 08:09 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.78 | $4.93 |
| 10-31 08:09 | Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.74 | $4.93 |
| 10-31 08:08 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.8899999991 | $77.98 |
| 10-31 08:06 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |