PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MATTIEL

0xceb146b0bacb20b48d00eb18e6e799ab6d2d0358

Realised P&L
$-4.31
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$196.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 16:13Will Greece win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.2299999958$8.14
10-04 16:13Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.5799999768$10.00
10-04 02:10Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0589999998$8.10
10-04 01:21Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?SELL0.004$0.46
10-04 00:29Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6419999841$3.47
10-04 00:28Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.2899999884$5.00
10-04 00:27Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.8109999492$10.00
10-04 00:12Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.8039999952$19.54
10-04 00:11Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0549999996$7.32
10-04 00:10Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.2899999968$10.00
10-03 22:58Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?BUY0.4799999913$17.65
10-03 22:58Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.3699999867$10.00
10-03 22:56Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?SELL0.0478426805$29.24
10-03 21:34Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?BUY0.0177696845$5.00
10-03 21:34Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?BUY0.0169438948$5.00