PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

edazed

0xceae9a3b458ef90d9d213d8853ae72dff80d1ced

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$76.8k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$93.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.4300.095$55.49$195.67
Will Possible Love win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0610.115$20.60+$9.58
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.2300.043$17.09$75.38
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00$47.00
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes0.1240.000$0.00$62.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No0.3020.000$0.00$60.50
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5) · Netherlands0.0200.000$0.00$5.00
Spread: Norway (-1.5) · Norway0.0830.000$0.00$19.12
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3070.000$0.00$118.50
Spread: Japan (-1.5) · Japan0.0190.000$0.00$8.17
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$39.27
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$8.37
Spread: Belgium (-2.5) · Belgium0.0130.000$0.00$5.56
Wimbledon WTA: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu · Zeynep Sonmez0.1520.000$0.00$447.56
Spread: Norway (-3.5) · Norway0.0070.000$0.00$2.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 22:43Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?SELL0.999$821.60
09-12 19:50Will Possible Love win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.066$4.89
09-05 23:19Will Possible Love win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.025$0.13
09-05 23:12Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.079$1.98
09-05 23:12Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.079$2.92
09-05 23:12Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.0822687861$28.46
09-05 23:11Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.078909139$7.45
07-14 20:30France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0948813904$10.00
07-14 20:25Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.1175$11.75
07-14 19:26Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4875$48.75
07-14 19:25France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersBUY0.28$28.00
07-14 19:25France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3875$108.50
07-14 19:24Spread: France (-2.5)BUY0.015$6.30
07-14 19:24Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.07$14.00
07-12 01:44Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.235$30.55