motardio
0xceabafdca846e7a31a00a55c089e3d3c0d14dce7
- Realised P&L
- $8.6k
- Volume
- $569.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,656
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,656
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.685Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- +$1.1kat 0.538Will Trump say "Iran" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
- +$1.1kat 0.447Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?
- +$1.0kat 0.434Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?
- +$921.10at 0.226Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 14:46 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.4 | $12.00 |
| 09-07 14:08 | Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.53 | $6.73 |
| 09-06 07:36 | Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 09-06 03:21 | Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.62 |
| 09-05 18:27 | Will JD Vance say "China" or "Chinese" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-05 15:30 | Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.16 |
| 09-04 07:43 | Will JD Vance say "Working Class" or "Middle Class" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-04 06:43 | Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 09-04 06:05 | Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.37 | $11.10 |
| 09-03 12:47 | Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote? | SELL | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 09-01 20:49 | Will Dell say "Lightning" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.31 | $0.69 |
| 09-01 20:40 | Will Dell say "Agentic" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 09-01 20:22 | Will Dell say "Confidence" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.635 | $19.05 |
| 09-01 20:18 | Will Dell say "Tailwind" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.46 | $13.80 |
| 09-01 14:13 | Will Dell say "Nvidia" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.75 | $22.50 |