PolyBot

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Traders

motardio

0xceabafdca846e7a31a00a55c089e3d3c0d14dce7

Realised P&L
$8.6k
Volume
$569.7k
Markets traded
1,656
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,656
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 14:46Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?BUY0.4$12.00
09-07 14:08Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?BUY0.53$6.73
09-06 07:36Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention?BUY0.25$1.25
09-06 03:21Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention?BUY0.26$5.62
09-05 18:27Will JD Vance say "China" or "Chinese" during RNC Convention?BUY0.54$2.70
09-05 15:30Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention?BUY0.26$2.16
09-04 07:43Will JD Vance say "Working Class" or "Middle Class" during RNC Convention?BUY0.37$1.85
09-04 06:43Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote?SELL0.62$12.40
09-04 06:05Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote?BUY0.37$11.10
09-03 12:47Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote?SELL0.64$12.80
09-01 20:49Will Dell say "Lightning" during earnings call?BUY0.31$0.69
09-01 20:40Will Dell say "Agentic" during earnings call?BUY0.83$24.90
09-01 20:22Will Dell say "Confidence" during earnings call?BUY0.635$19.05
09-01 20:18Will Dell say "Tailwind" during earnings call?BUY0.46$13.80
09-01 14:13Will Dell say "Nvidia" during earnings call?BUY0.75$22.50