clownfishbets
0xce9f3af3f26b23fde285e82471e03dd90038130c
- Realised P&L
- $-134.78
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $257.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.820 | 0.990 | $23.76 | +$4.08 |
| Spread: Houston (-4.5) · Houston | 0.490 | 0.495 | $22.27 | +$0.23 |
| Kent State vs. South Florida · South Florida | 0.910 | 0.905 | $20.82 | −$0.11 |
| UFC Fight Night: Julien LeBlanc vs. Nick Galanti (Middleweight, Prelims) · Julien LeBlanc | 0.140 | 0.150 | $20.02 | +$1.33 |
| Ravens vs. Browns · Browns | 0.360 | 0.385 | $15.79 | +$1.02 |
| UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card) · Mike Malott | 0.540 | 0.535 | $14.45 | −$0.14 |
| Timberwolves vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.510 | 0.780 | $10.14 | +$3.51 |
| Titans vs. Colts · Colts | 0.750 | 0.735 | $10.05 | −$0.21 |
| Spread: Memphis (-7.5) · Tulane | 0.560 | 0.895 | $8.95 | +$3.35 |
| Spread: Wizards (-2.5) · Pelicans | 0.490 | 0.695 | $8.34 | +$2.46 |
| Wizards vs. Pelicans · Pelicans | 0.500 | 0.585 | $8.24 | +$1.20 |
| Memphis vs. Tulane · Memphis | 0.703 | 0.335 | $5.83 | −$6.40 |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 49.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.520 | $5.46 | +$0.00 |
| Saints vs. Giants · Giants | 0.495 | 0.495 | $4.95 | +$0.00 |
| Spread: Temple (-20.5) · Temple | 0.500 | 0.475 | $4.75 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.16at 0.417Seahawks vs. Broncos
- +$10.55at 0.497George Holani: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5
- +$7.72at 0.517East Carolina vs. UAB: O/U 49.5
- +$5.13at 0.487Spread: East Carolina (-4.5)
- +$4.61at 0.341Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 00:58 | Spread: Temple (-20.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 10-17 00:57 | Kent State vs. South Florida | BUY | 0.91 | $20.93 |
| 10-17 00:48 | Washington vs. Purdue | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 10-17 00:12 | UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.54 | $14.58 |
| 10-16 23:40 | Kings vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.82 | $19.68 |
| 10-16 23:34 | Spread: Purdue (-2.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 10-16 23:32 | Spread: Memphis (-7.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 10-16 22:51 | Wizards vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.5 | $7.04 |
| 10-16 22:17 | Spread: Vanderbilt (-6.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 10-16 21:56 | Saints vs. Giants | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-16 21:50 | Memphis vs. Tulane | BUY | 0.7 | $8.68 |
| 10-16 21:41 | Spread: Lakers (-5.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 10-16 21:10 | Washington vs. Purdue: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 10-16 20:30 | Penguins vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 10-16 19:27 | Saints vs. Giants | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |