vrshvr
0xce98e56f77f2eec343a34b4ad845b540abde5614
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $42.5k
- Markets traded
- 854
- Open portfolio
- $2.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded854
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Željko Komšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.320 | $2.72 | +$2.46 |
| Will Li Wu Ying-chih win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.19 |
| Will Hsu Chih-chieh win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.002 | $0.00 | −$0.08 |
| Will Ana Luiza do MLB win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.18 |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.55at 0.382Solana Up or Down - July 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
- +$17.50at 0.417Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
- +$17.40at 0.140Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?
- +$16.31at 0.456Solana Up or Down - July 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$9.90at 0.604Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 06:07 | Will the Republican Party and Democratic Party hold the same number of governorships after the midterms? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.33 |
| 09-01 06:07 | Will Natalie Nakase win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? | SELL | 0.121 | $2.42 |
| 09-01 06:07 | Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next? | SELL | 0.223 | $9.11 |
| 09-01 04:56 | Will Natalie Nakase win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? | SELL | 0.115 | $2.30 |
| 09-01 04:56 | Will Natalie Nakase win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? | BUY | 0.159 | $3.18 |
| 08-31 14:22 | Will the Republican Party and Democratic Party hold the same number of governorships after the midterms? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.47 |
| 08-31 13:14 | Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next? | SELL | 0.327 | $3.27 |
| 08-31 12:49 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 08-31 01:55 | Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 08-31 01:55 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,450,000 and 2,600,000? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 08-30 23:47 | Will another team finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 08-30 22:46 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on September 30? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 08-30 21:43 | Will Sandy Alcantara win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.66 |
| 08-30 20:35 | Will Sandy Alcantara win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 08-30 20:19 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 25%-35%? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |