crrrr23
0xce91738a99684b7c1bdedb9b0e81862876ad4300
- Realised P&L
- $100.52
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $291.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Clement Chidekh · Botic van de Zandschulp | 0.580 | 0.575 | $291.12 | −$2.53 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.374 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.00 |
| Daniel vs. Martin: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.81 |
| Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$107.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$151.63at 0.442Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- +$99.74at 0.475Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Shanghai, China?
- +$66.99at 0.642China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur
- +$14.48at 0.865Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonseca
- +$4.10at 0.950Spread: Club Universitario de Deportes (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 04:26 | European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Clement Chidekh | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 04:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $1.51 |
| 10-20 04:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 04:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $1.55 |
| 10-20 04:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 04:11 | European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Clement Chidekh | BUY | 0.5799999995 | $291.65 |
| 10-18 11:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.808 | $458.61 |
| 10-18 11:14 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8089999997 | $459.18 |
| 10-18 11:14 | Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Shanghai, China? | SELL | 0.999 | $190.32 |
| 10-18 11:14 | Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Shanghai, China? | SELL | 0.999 | $272.10 |
| 10-17 17:04 | Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Shanghai, China? | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $117.12 |
| 10-17 15:15 | Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Shanghai, China? | BUY | 0.4629999989 | $88.21 |
| 10-06 20:04 | Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999999 | $92.71 |
| 10-06 19:58 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $18.00 |
| 10-06 19:55 | Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999986 | $15.00 |