PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xce8Fc92D5d4761cC24f4286e785395ec642Bb07C-1728155847144

0xce8fc92d5d4761cc24f4286e785395ec642bb07c

Realised P&L
$-125.41
Volume
$103.2k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$10.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.9650.939$8.34−$0.23
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8770.058$1.98−$28.02
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00−$12.00
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30? · Yes0.2180.000$0.00−$6.50
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$9.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25? · Yes0.6610.000$0.00−$10.70
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-17? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$9.00
2Q Spread: Browns (-7.5) · Titans0.9900.000$0.00−$7.91
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$12.00
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$9.00
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07? · No0.4100.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 22:012Q Spread: Browns (-7.5)BUY0.99$7.91
10-06 09:23Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.9649999977$8.57
10-06 09:21Korea Republic vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5BUY0.9389999976$8.86
06-01 12:57Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?BUY0.996$50.00
02-27 18:26Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.876999984$30.00
02-02 16:04Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?BUY0.3499999889$14.20
02-02 16:04Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?BUY0.4$10.00
02-02 16:04Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-07?BUY0.4399999894$10.00
02-02 16:03Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?BUY0.8099999854$10.00
02-02 16:03Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?BUY0.5799999884$8.00
02-02 16:03Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?BUY0.4099999723$8.00
02-02 16:03Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06?BUY0.28$7.00
02-02 16:03Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-02?BUY0.8099999854$10.00
01-15 11:15Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?BUY0.6609078318$10.70
01-15 11:15Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)BUY0.64$7.00