0xce8Fc92D5d4761cC24f4286e785395ec642Bb07C-1728155847144
0xce8fc92d5d4761cc24f4286e785395ec642bb07c
- Realised P&L
- $-125.41
- Volume
- $103.2k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $10.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.37at 0.350Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?
- +$20.00at 0.500Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?
- +$12.73at 0.440Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-07?
- +$5.79at 0.580Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?
- +$5.15at 0.660Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 22:01 | 2Q Spread: Browns (-7.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $7.91 |
| 10-06 09:23 | Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.9649999977 | $8.57 |
| 10-06 09:21 | Korea Republic vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.9389999976 | $8.86 |
| 06-01 12:57 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1? | BUY | 0.996 | $50.00 |
| 02-27 18:26 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.876999984 | $30.00 |
| 02-02 16:04 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08? | BUY | 0.3499999889 | $14.20 |
| 02-02 16:04 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 02-02 16:04 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-07? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 02-02 16:03 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 02-02 16:03 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07? | BUY | 0.5799999884 | $8.00 |
| 02-02 16:03 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07? | BUY | 0.4099999723 | $8.00 |
| 02-02 16:03 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 02-02 16:03 | Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-02? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 01-15 11:15 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25? | BUY | 0.6609078318 | $10.70 |
| 01-15 11:15 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $7.00 |