PolyBot

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Traders

Elyxzr

0xce8d9df0cb88cb0a631f3b50b1dac25ab21028db

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$55.2k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$22.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.6900.854$17.08+$3.28
Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? · Yes0.2200.260$5.20+$0.80
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt? · No0.9660.000$0.00−$9.66
Kings vs. Raptors · Raptors0.8700.000$0.00−$1.3k
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$27.00
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$11.50
Pistons vs. Thunder · Pistons0.3600.000$0.00−$180.00
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$15.37
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No0.9780.000$0.00−$97.80
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$15.00
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$7.00
Pacers vs. Bulls · Bulls0.6300.000$0.00−$315.00
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No0.9100.000$0.00−$91.00
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$6.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 09:50Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.75$15.00
09-12 13:26Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.69$13.80
08-26 03:04Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.23$3.91
08-17 10:47Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.75$15.00
08-17 10:46Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?SELL0.4701$23.51
08-09 04:49Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.79$79.00
08-08 04:42US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.56$16.80
07-26 02:10Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.802$16.03
07-16 08:59Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY0.964644$19.29
07-04 02:16Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.5$50.00
06-27 17:03Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?BUY0.963$28.89
06-19 07:58Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?BUY0.7$70.00
06-02 12:04Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.76$76.00
05-18 07:48US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.93$41.85
05-15 01:37Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?BUY0.87$3.35