0xce8725f546426081e849b9a10f218a663e870095
0xce8725f546426081e849b9a10f218a663e870095
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $1.18M
- Markets traded
- 619
- Open portfolio
- $129.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded619
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.953 | 0.974 | $129.50 | +$2.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.94at 0.960Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 219.5
- +$41.91at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 10?
- +$37.34at 0.996Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 38-39°F on March 17?
- +$33.26at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 14?
- +$28.00at 0.999Raptors vs. Nuggets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 06:09 | Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9527966306 | $126.68 |
| 03-23 06:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $73.00 |
| 03-23 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on March 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $211.55 |
| 03-23 02:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.7k |
| 03-22 15:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22? | BUY | 0.9969999978 | $396.49 |
| 03-22 15:27 | Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $13.5k |
| 03-22 15:23 | Will FC Utrecht vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9986060606 | $49.43 |
| 03-22 15:23 | Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-22? | BUY | 0.999 | $574.72 |
| 03-22 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22? | BUY | 0.997988014 | $1.3k |
| 03-22 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.994 | $53.43 |
| 03-22 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $582.62 |
| 03-22 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.995 | $199.00 |
| 03-22 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $18.44 |
| 03-22 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on March 22? | BUY | 0.997 | $0.92 |
| 03-22 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on March 22? | BUY | 0.97 | $356.78 |