PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xce8641D3d6B98Ea890947abC05d21C6d189E9501-1770597301726

0xce8641d3d6b98ea890947abc05d21c6d189e9501

Realised P&L
$-376.29
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
429
Open portfolio
$0.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded429
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United States vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.001$0.10−$49.90
Will CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC end in a draw? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-27? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5930.000$0.00−$19.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 12AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.3280.000$0.00−$10.00
Bulls vs. Lakers · Bulls0.1790.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.5990.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Germany vs. Finland end in a draw? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Nets vs. Lakers · Nets0.1900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 22:09Will United States vs. Mexico end in a draw?BUY0.2399999992$50.00
09-29 17:53Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.6599999979$100.00
09-28 20:38Will France win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.9$115.38
09-28 18:53Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3899999976$50.00
09-26 21:47Will Colombia win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.3699999988$66.75
09-26 18:04Will England vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.2799999978$10.00
09-21 02:00Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-09-20?SELL0.821$20.52
09-20 23:44Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.08$2.00
09-20 03:11Will CF América win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.3699999935$20.00
09-19 01:17Will Club Puebla win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.32$20.00
09-14 02:20Will FC Juárez win on 2026-09-13?SELL0.57$42.22
09-14 00:56Will FC Juárez win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.2699999966$20.00
09-06 21:41Will CF América win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.4599999958$50.00
09-06 00:34Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.579999983$30.00
09-04 20:13Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?BUY0.6299999181$2.00