PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AVAWAN

0xce861a888127ab5525e2e783868b36503f21c36e

Realised P&L
$60.50
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$11.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner · Invictus Gaming0.6001.000$10.00+$4.00
Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? · Yes0.1340.089$0.90−$0.45
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0410.016$0.39−$0.61
Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3900.000$0.00−$3.90
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 03:04Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.39$3.90
10-28 03:01LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6$6.00
10-26 02:45Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?BUY0.134$1.34
08-03 04:35Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4399999428$4.00
05-08 01:51MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.71$18.15
03-24 07:05OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.6499999675$5.00
03-22 01:04Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 22?BUY0.0389999635$1.00
03-22 00:58Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 22?BUY0.0671936175$1.00
03-21 03:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 21?SELL0.122$3.43
03-20 12:46China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2$1.00
03-20 12:41Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 22?SELL0.15$5.40
03-20 12:36Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 21?BUY0.0355769232$1.00
03-20 12:36Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 21?SELL0.3551512331$7.63
03-20 08:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 21?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
03-20 08:01Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 21?BUY0.32$3.00