AVAWAN
0xce861a888127ab5525e2e783868b36503f21c36e
- Realised P&L
- $60.50
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $11.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner · Invictus Gaming | 0.600 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$4.00 |
| Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.089 | $0.90 | −$0.45 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.016 | $0.39 | −$0.61 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.90 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.55at 0.250GTA VI released before June 2026?
- +$15.93at 0.110MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$8.00at 0.260Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$3.59at 0.579Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
- +$3.20at 0.230Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 03:04 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 10-28 03:01 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 10-26 02:45 | Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.134 | $1.34 |
| 08-03 04:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999428 | $4.00 |
| 05-08 01:51 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $18.15 |
| 03-24 07:05 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 03-22 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.0389999635 | $1.00 |
| 03-22 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.0671936175 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 21? | SELL | 0.122 | $3.43 |
| 03-20 12:46 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 03-20 12:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 22? | SELL | 0.15 | $5.40 |
| 03-20 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 21? | BUY | 0.0355769232 | $1.00 |
| 03-20 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 21? | SELL | 0.3551512331 | $7.63 |
| 03-20 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 21? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 03-20 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 21? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |