0xce84dbd0e4243d7769e76d982252fe99f7b06069
- Realised P&L
- $-71.93
- Volume
- $335.01
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $1.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-21.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.038 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.575 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Athens Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alina Korneeva · Alina Korneeva | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.91at 0.584Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$8.54at 0.333Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$7.01at 0.748Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$2.15at 0.707Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$1.55at 0.798Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 21:20 | Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0281553127 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 16:53 | Athens Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alina Korneeva | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 18:48 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3125 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 18:48 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3125 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 19:48 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1324999642 | $3.00 |
| 07-10 19:48 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1349998906 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 11:33 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5749999919 | $25.00 |
| 07-05 12:01 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 12:00 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 12:00 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 18:01 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.08 |
| 07-01 14:26 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7699999824 | $7.00 |
| 06-30 14:53 | Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 11:11 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5599999907 | $12.00 |
| 06-29 17:01 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $50.00 |