PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xce835d04e49a7a426b74bc5e1cc24dd0fbdb0fdd

0xce835d04e49a7a426b74bc5e1cc24dd0fbdb0fdd

Realised P&L
$-4.48
Volume
$156.03
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$6.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 19 2026? · No0.5900.765$1.30+$0.30
Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.7000.845$1.21+$0.21
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? · Yes0.7200.810$1.13+$0.13
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes0.3100.300$0.97−$0.03
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? · Yes0.7100.615$0.87−$0.13
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? · Yes0.8000.580$0.72−$0.28
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · Yes0.4700.255$0.54−$0.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 21:02Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-19 12:26Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-19 04:25Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 19 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-18 20:25Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?BUY0.8$1.00
10-18 11:53Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7$1.00
10-18 00:59Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-17 16:00Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?BUY0.469999906$1.00
10-16 12:32SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-16 03:54S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-15 19:05S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-15 09:49Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-15 00:36Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-14 15:38Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-14 07:30Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $540 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-13 23:15Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00