PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lukasi1

0xce833c6b0b5c5144511b3744aca28b1b7a80ad5b

Realised P&L
$-26.56
Volume
$229.7k
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 2? · Yes0.9830.991$1.1k+$7.51
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$386.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 08:39Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 2?BUY0.9834997664$1.1k
10-28 12:40Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 29?BUY0.9706851192$1.0k
10-27 10:11Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 27?BUY0.9849999995$1.0k
10-27 01:58Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 26?BUY0.994$1.0k
10-26 09:06Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 26?BUY0.9883480475$996.00
08-04 01:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETBUY0.2899998666$1.00
08-04 01:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETBUY0.29999982$1.00
08-04 01:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-16 03:41Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2699999996$386.57
07-10 03:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 10?BUY0.9989999977$407.64
06-23 13:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 24?BUY0.996$410.00
06-17 12:28Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.2599999966$50.00
06-11 01:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12?BUY0.9971220987$460.00
06-10 12:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11?BUY0.9961319112$459.00
06-09 10:53Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10?BUY0.9970747665$458.00