0xce80d88324cb4D080Da754aD95f2B4b42D709a82-1781952621820
0xce80d88324cb4d080da754ad95f2b4b42d709a82
- Realised P&L
- $-224.3k
- Volume
- $2.48M
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $114.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.6kat 0.387Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$18.2kat 0.436Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
- +$14.0kat 0.677Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$12.3kat 0.577Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
- +$12.1kat 0.557Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 13:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.62 | $182.28 |
| 09-09 05:37 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | SELL | 0.7544534413 | $186.35 |
| 09-08 23:52 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.5122230689 | $53.78 |
| 09-08 23:51 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.5372859296 | $106.92 |
| 09-08 18:41 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $69.12 |
| 09-08 18:41 | LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.52 | $38.48 |
| 09-08 18:41 | Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.38 | $125.31 |
| 09-07 17:56 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.52 | $15.8k |
| 09-07 17:55 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.51 | $5.2k |
| 09-07 17:36 | US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova | SELL | 0.999 | $21.4k |
| 09-07 14:46 | US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova | BUY | 0.86 | $18.5k |
| 09-06 22:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 7? | SELL | 0.490675 | $392.54 |
| 09-06 20:12 | Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2117903525 | $228.31 |
| 09-06 20:10 | Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2047899694 | $283.30 |
| 09-06 20:00 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers | SELL | 0.11 | $670.81 |