PolyBot

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Traders

0xce80d88324cb4D080Da754aD95f2B4b42D709a82-1781952621820

0xce80d88324cb4d080da754ad95f2b4b42d709a82

Realised P&L
$-224.3k
Volume
$2.48M
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$114.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
M25 Setubal: Diogo Morais vs Lucas Poullain · Diogo Morais0.1900.896$66.30+$52.24
M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen · Francisco Rocha0.2000.205$16.20+$0.40
M25 Setubal: Joao Dinis Silva vs Philip Henning · Joao Dinis Silva0.1600.160$15.84+$0.00
W50 Plovdiv: Iva Ivanova vs Lidia Encheva · Iva Ivanova0.2400.265$15.63+$1.47
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? · Yes0.7200.002$0.08$37.35
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4360.000$0.00$1.4k
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$100.10
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.7760.000$0.00$32.5k
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$16.5k
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$240.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$65.34
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$8.4k
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$5.6k
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals0.5170.000$0.00$20.9k
Canada leading at halftime? · Yes0.4270.000$0.00$20.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 13:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.62$182.28
09-09 05:37Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?SELL0.7544534413$186.35
09-08 23:52Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?SELL0.5122230689$53.78
09-08 23:51Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?SELL0.5372859296$106.92
09-08 18:41LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.72$69.12
09-08 18:41LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL0.52$38.48
09-08 18:41Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.38$125.31
09-07 17:56Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY0.52$15.8k
09-07 17:55Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY0.51$5.2k
09-07 17:36US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia PotapovaSELL0.999$21.4k
09-07 14:46US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia PotapovaBUY0.86$18.5k
09-06 22:17Bitcoin Up or Down on September 7?SELL0.490675$392.54
09-06 20:12Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)BUY0.2117903525$228.31
09-06 20:10Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)BUY0.2047899694$283.30
09-06 20:00Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas RangersSELL0.11$670.81