mke4j9o465957
0xce7e17213d1422e92202710d8991761f5c9f02b4
- Realised P&L
- $-110.01
- Volume
- $856.22
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $7.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.243 | $4.97 | −$5.23 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.033 | $1.66 | −$7.83 |
| Will Brooklyn Pickleball Team win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship? · Yes | 0.464 | 0.043 | $0.85 | −$8.43 |
| Will Richard Grayson win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$0.14 |
| Will the announcers say "Triangle" during McGregor vs Holloway? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.09 |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by July 31? · Yes | 0.618 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.26 |
| Will Nuclear TigeRES Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
| Will Drake Baldwin be named the 2026 MLB All-Star Game MVP? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.13at 0.082Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?
- +$4.00at 0.500Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$3.63at 0.840Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$3.42at 0.320Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.25B?
- +$2.64at 0.132Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 06:41 | Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.25B? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.08 |
| 07-13 06:38 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? | SELL | 0.671 | $0.07 |
| 07-12 05:29 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? | BUY | 0.8739999931 | $6.37 |
| 07-12 02:10 | Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.076 | $2.65 |
| 07-11 16:00 | Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.707 | $36.27 |
| 07-11 15:59 | Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $47.14 |
| 07-11 15:56 | Will 9z Team Win the XSE Pro League | SELL | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 07-11 09:18 | Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks? | SELL | 0.918 | $1.03 |
| 07-11 07:23 | Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks? | BUY | 0.9487547165 | $96.70 |
| 10-16 09:50 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.97 | $0.99 |
| 10-16 09:49 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9739999922 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 09:24 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.99 |
| 10-14 09:22 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.00 |