mekjrmrk
0xce7c93e90eba83b57e16fccdc5675878cf6e5c64
- Realised P&L
- $3.09
- Volume
- $286.35
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $4.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 9? · No | 0.810 | 0.640 | $4.20 | −$1.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.51at 0.471Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$7.21at 0.300Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$5.79at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15?
- +$2.76at 0.651Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$2.24at 0.762Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:09 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 9? | BUY | 0.8099999817 | $5.31 |
| 09-23 07:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999964 | $5.11 |
| 09-03 06:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.26 |
| 08-18 06:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9649999215 | $5.41 |
| 08-05 09:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.8299998485 | $5.15 |
| 07-26 05:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? | BUY | 0.9569999991 | $5.33 |
| 07-14 04:06 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.9739999955 | $5.23 |
| 07-12 09:23 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999928 | $5.24 |
| 07-02 06:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.8699999885 | $5.28 |
| 06-26 04:29 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? | BUY | 0.9879999058 | $5.41 |
| 06-20 07:17 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999991 | $5.45 |
| 06-10 03:36 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | BUY | 0.9199999931 | $5.34 |
| 06-02 06:55 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9689999945 | $5.31 |
| 05-31 03:50 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9799999488 | $5.36 |
| 05-21 06:48 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9569999192 | $5.07 |