0xce7c8800454737b54710bdc135d8a6951a106e98
0xce7c8800454737b54710bdc135d8a6951a106e98
- Realised P&L
- $-13.51
- Volume
- $213.48
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $0.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $150 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.130 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.52at 0.260US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.19at 0.359Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.38at 0.410Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$3.38at 0.410Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $146 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$2.86at 0.450S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:32 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $150 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:05 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:30 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:22 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999367 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 09:18 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6499999641 | $1.81 |
| 09-15 23:34 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299999512 | $2.29 |
| 09-12 15:09 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.29 |
| 09-10 15:34 | Will Meta (META) finish week of September 7 above $660? | BUY | 0.67999981 | $2.29 |
| 09-10 07:28 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 10? | BUY | 0.6899999126 | $2.29 |
| 09-09 22:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5399998105 | $1.14 |
| 09-07 10:16 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999083 | $2.29 |
| 08-25 22:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.29 |
| 08-25 06:55 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $182 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999214 | $2.29 |
| 08-23 22:46 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? | BUY | 0.4799999245 | $2.29 |