bbbcccc
0xce780ba66d8f4e1906c28b3e55853b3812564bcc
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $1.55M
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $4.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · Yes | 0.724 | 0.835 | $2.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? · No | 0.910 | 0.978 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.485 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.115 | $0.17 | −$0.83 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$419.88 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25? · No | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.9k |
| Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$502.65at 0.896Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27?
- +$125.77at 0.870Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
- +$77.87at 0.936Will Acción Popular (AP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
- +$68.10at 0.952Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$62.31at 0.981Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 23:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 23:29 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 19:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 06:29 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 06:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:19 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $1.01 |
| 09-15 08:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9099992538 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 08:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 23:32 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399996992 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 23:07 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | SELL | 0.968 | $1.06 |
| 08-23 23:07 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9129999717 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 23:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 01:46 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 01:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.5809998902 | $1.00 |