0xce6a8861fbc806bf3005aadbddf3bba586882aba
0xce6a8861fbc806bf3005aadbddf3bba586882aba
- Realised P&L
- $58.94
- Volume
- $320.15
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $57.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams vs. Eagles · Rams | 0.500 | 0.635 | $12.96 | +$2.75 |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.535 | $12.38 | +$0.81 |
| Bruins vs. Jets: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.795 | $11.36 | +$4.21 |
| Navy vs. Air Force: O/U 45.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.495 | $7.92 | −$0.08 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Under | 0.500 | 0.525 | $7.86 | +$0.37 |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo · Alejandro Tabilo | 0.500 | 0.435 | $5.06 | −$0.76 |
| Porto 2: Jerome Kym vs Edas Butvilas · Edas Butvilas | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.07 |
| Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 41.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.41 |
| Set Handicap: Arthur Fils (-1.5) vs Frances Tiafoe (+1.5) · Frances Tiafoe | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.85 |
| Panthers vs. Hurricanes · Hurricanes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.27 |
| Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Hubert Hurkacz | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.78 |
| Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas · Juan Pablo Varillas | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.41 |
| Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev · Andrey Rublev | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.29 |
| Raiders vs. Saints · Saints | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.88 |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle · Henry Searle | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.49at 0.392Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
- +$19.03at 0.239Will Adama Diop win by KO or TKO?
- +$17.20at 0.412Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$8.91at 0.500Curitiba: Pedro Sakamoto vs Santiago De la Fuente
- +$8.64at 0.310Falcons vs. Packers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 14:02 | Porto 2: Jerome Kym vs Edas Butvilas | BUY | 0.4699999936 | $8.07 |
| 10-01 23:06 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5 | $13.56 |
| 10-01 23:02 | Set Handicap: Arthur Fils (-1.5) vs Frances Tiafoe (+1.5) | BUY | 0.549999972 | $7.85 |
| 10-01 19:28 | Columbus: Stefan Kozlov vs Mitchell Krueger | BUY | 0.43 | $5.26 |
| 10-01 17:09 | DK Metcalf: Receptions O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5499999819 | $6.07 |
| 10-01 17:08 | DK Metcalf: Receptions O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 10-01 11:15 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik | BUY | 0.609999984 | $7.99 |
| 10-01 02:51 | Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $12.18 |
| 09-30 19:55 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.4 | $11.70 |
| 09-30 10:55 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rei Sakamoto | BUY | 0.49 | $7.84 |
| 09-30 02:53 | Spread: Oilers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $4.89 |
| 09-29 23:47 | Will Adama Diop win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.23 | $5.75 |
| 09-29 10:02 | Hurkacz vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.60999999 | $8.58 |
| 09-28 19:39 | Saquon Barkley: 2+ Touchdowns | BUY | 0.15 | $2.52 |
| 09-28 13:33 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.61 | $5.30 |