0xce64f577462c7bf08b6cdc834d6c286e663c9e7d
0xce64f577462c7bf08b6cdc834d6c286e663c9e7d
- Realised P&L
- $-45.93
- Volume
- $479.82
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $63.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.615 | $43.31 | −$6.69 |
| China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech · Petra Marcinko | 0.500 | 0.495 | $19.80 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.30at 0.312Asian Games Men: India vs Afghanistan
- +$1.81at 0.736LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
- +$-0.28at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.45at 0.330Spread: Spain (-3.5)
- +$-0.47at 0.183Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 07:15 | China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 07:15 | China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 01:09 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 01:07 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 01:06 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 16:00 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 18:05 | Asian Games Men: India vs Afghanistan | BUY | 0.2985074627 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 09:25 | Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Tatiana Prozorova | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 09:23 | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs | BUY | 0.5445544366 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 10:14 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |
| 08-12 03:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.61 | $5.49 |
| 08-12 03:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6199998016 | $3.00 |
| 08-12 03:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6199998016 | $3.00 |
| 06-21 08:30 | San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.43 | $4.73 |
| 06-21 08:10 | San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |