PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

AmericanTrad39

0xce63f825e739c48968f1155e20938bd0c6676888

Realised P&L
$-40.46
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)39.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 06:42Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.52% in October?SELL0.58$12.18
10-02 16:26Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?SELL0.34$7.14
09-26 14:02Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 30%-35%?SELL0.16$4.03
09-20 02:33Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31?SELL0.78$12.33
09-10 21:15Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.25$5.25
09-07 11:38Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.22$2.27
09-05 11:19Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?SELL0.74$15.54
09-03 11:51Will Rogerio Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?SELL0.3$6.30
09-03 04:40Will Marc-André Cloutier win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?SELL0.002$0.02
09-03 00:39Will Marc-André Cloutier win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?SELL0.01$0.05
09-02 21:18Will Marc-André Cloutier win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?SELL0.01$0.05
09-02 20:06Will Marc-André Cloutier win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?SELL0.02$0.10
08-30 02:37Will Fabiano Contarato win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?SELL0.315$7.94
08-23 22:31Will William Peña Farfán win the next Cusco mayoral elections?SELL0.19$1.09
08-19 07:48Will William Peña Farfán win the next Cusco mayoral elections?SELL0.25$1.44