0xce54373c3f6adf0ebd6ccac165dfc4c3f2fc47b6
0xce54373c3f6adf0ebd6ccac165dfc4c3f2fc47b6
- Realised P&L
- $-11.19
- Volume
- $463.48
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $0.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.005 | $0.32 | −$1.68 |
| Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
| Will Sint Maarten win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Sint Maarten vs. St. Vincent and the Grenadines end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.99at 0.198Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$-1.56at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$-2.00at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$-2.00at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$-5.47at 0.264Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 19:37 | Will Sint Maarten vs. St. Vincent and the Grenadines end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:37 | Will Sint Maarten win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:36 | Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? | BUY | 0.031 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 19:36 | Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.0139999999 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 15:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 08-15 14:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.010331565 | $1.56 |
| 08-15 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 08-15 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $4.56 |
| 08-15 14:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 08-15 14:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2413966243 | $5.00 |