PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

wenlic

0xce5169e51263f179a7e54ca0eea50dc2b8f78d4c

Realised P&L
$-119.92
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
215
Open portfolio
$4.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded215
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8700.053$4.02$62.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 02:18Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?SELL0.33$66.43
06-29 01:05Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 29?SELL0.3902988465$65.30
06-28 16:08Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?SELL0.19$13.71
06-28 12:41Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?SELL0.47$33.87
06-28 11:43Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?SELL0.34$9.22
06-28 11:43Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?SELL0.38$7.60
06-28 09:42Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 29?SELL0.28$18.28
06-28 09:33Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 29?SELL0.31$5.23
06-28 09:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?SELL0.3218880732$40.78
06-28 08:19Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?SELL0.876$16.50
06-28 07:18Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 30?SELL0.3767443286$6.14
06-28 07:01Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 30?SELL0.3$0.05
06-28 06:47Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?SELL0.3968399453$43.51
06-28 06:22Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 30?SELL0.37$12.95
06-28 06:22Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 30?SELL0.37$3.70