wenlic
0xce5169e51263f179a7e54ca0eea50dc2b8f78d4c
- Realised P&L
- $-119.92
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 215
- Open portfolio
- $4.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded215
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.053 | $4.02 | −$62.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.04at 0.718Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7AM ET
- +$4.86at 0.737Jazz vs. Thunder
- +$4.11at 0.709Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9PM ET
- +$3.65at 0.743LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats
- +$3.60at 0.745LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 02:18 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.33 | $66.43 |
| 06-29 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 29? | SELL | 0.3902988465 | $65.30 |
| 06-28 16:08 | Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | SELL | 0.19 | $13.71 |
| 06-28 12:41 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.47 | $33.87 |
| 06-28 11:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30? | SELL | 0.34 | $9.22 |
| 06-28 11:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 06-28 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 29? | SELL | 0.28 | $18.28 |
| 06-28 09:33 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 29? | SELL | 0.31 | $5.23 |
| 06-28 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30? | SELL | 0.3218880732 | $40.78 |
| 06-28 08:19 | Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | SELL | 0.876 | $16.50 |
| 06-28 07:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 30? | SELL | 0.3767443286 | $6.14 |
| 06-28 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 30? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.05 |
| 06-28 06:47 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29? | SELL | 0.3968399453 | $43.51 |
| 06-28 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 30? | SELL | 0.37 | $12.95 |
| 06-28 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 30? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.70 |