PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xce4fAc4871e20CB377E12602b9716760c37FBc38-1775193875569

0xce4fac4871e20cb377e12602b9716760c37fbc38

Realised P&L
$583.13
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$11.57

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.5800.575$9.91$0.09
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.5200.860$1.65+$0.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-06? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$45.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-05? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$3.84
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$200.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4100.000$0.00$1.13
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-05? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$7.00
Germany vs. Japan · Japan0.2800.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Up0.6100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Down0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Argentina to score first vs. Spain? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 05:28Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.5799999768$10.00
09-16 05:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETBUY0.01$2.00
09-15 04:08Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.7199999997$440.66
09-14 16:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-14 16:32Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.4199999999$188.12
09-14 16:30Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.32$200.00
09-12 22:52Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.4599999998$180.00
09-09 22:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-09 21:56Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.6699999991$130.00
09-09 01:12Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.5799999978$77.62
09-06 13:05Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.5699999976$45.00
09-05 17:28Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.2799999968$45.00
09-05 16:53Germany vs. JapanBUY0.2799999048$2.00
09-05 16:04Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.2299999563$3.84
09-05 12:48Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.3899999866$7.00