BwJU
0xce4a13b9eb9eebe3e1ef318cc26a679527debae6
- Realised P&L
- $-7.33
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $1.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-18 House seat? · No | 0.890 | 0.968 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.53at 0.770Will Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?
- +$0.30at 0.790Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.20at 0.880Taylor Lorenz leaves WaPo in August?
- +$0.20at 0.910Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?
- +$0.18at 0.730Senate control after 2024 election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 07:56 | Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.995 | $300.89 |
| 06-22 07:56 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $199.80 |
| 06-22 07:56 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $199.60 |
| 06-19 08:37 | Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.996 | $300.00 |
| 06-19 08:37 | Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.995 | $298.50 |
| 06-19 08:37 | Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.996 | $300.00 |
| 06-19 08:36 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.00 |
| 06-19 08:36 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $200.00 |
| 05-07 05:04 | Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $221.97 |
| 05-04 12:29 | Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $220.00 |
| 05-04 12:29 | Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $217.80 |
| 05-04 12:29 | Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $220.00 |
| 03-31 05:24 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.99 | $303.00 |
| 03-31 05:24 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.992 | $249.75 |
| 03-28 13:03 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.993 | $250.00 |