oppbolk
0xce3cd621b28f5053b45512ec6c3b5f10b5058870
- Realised P&L
- $-27.91
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $10.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)9.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.405 | $8.71 | −$11.29 |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.695 | $2.17 | −$0.83 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.81at 0.969Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?
- +$-0.58at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 8?
- +$-0.71at 0.840Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$-0.87at 0.989Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$-1.08at 0.996Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-28 06:29 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $570.73 |
| 01-28 06:24 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $571.88 |
| 01-28 06:21 | Over $3M committed to the Fabric public sale? | SELL | 0.9915297616 | $551.88 |
| 01-28 06:16 | Over $3M committed to the Fabric public sale? | BUY | 0.997 | $554.92 |
| 01-28 06:13 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | SELL | 0.9940623388 | $554.93 |
| 01-28 06:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.9959999998 | $556.01 |
| 01-28 05:35 | Over $3M committed to the Fabric public sale? | SELL | 0.995 | $556.01 |
| 01-28 05:27 | Over $3M committed to the Fabric public sale? | BUY | 0.9978210475 | $557.59 |
| 01-12 06:37 | Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $19.28 |
| 01-12 06:37 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million? | SELL | 0.986064112 | $538.31 |
| 01-12 06:32 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million? | BUY | 0.993 | $542.10 |
| 01-10 12:37 | Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9689999985 | $525.29 |
| 01-09 14:30 | Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 01-09 14:30 | Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.9873783385 | $528.30 |
| 01-09 14:22 | Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.989 | $529.17 |