0xCE3247d0665F045B0Ba06746d73103A5Cc655757-1758173892543
0xce3247d0665f045b0ba06746d73103a5cc655757
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $128.2k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.149Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$887.86at 0.465Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$631.38at 0.327Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$521.27at 0.449LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
- +$424.38at 0.424Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 05:53 | LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.8 | $240.00 |
| 10-19 05:52 | LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.87 | $261.00 |
| 10-19 05:52 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.79 | $237.00 |
| 10-19 05:51 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.83 | $249.00 |
| 10-19 05:33 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.56 | $392.00 |
| 10-19 05:32 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.66 | $396.00 |
| 10-16 06:50 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.64 | $640.00 |
| 10-16 06:43 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.65 | $650.00 |
| 10-16 03:41 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 10-11 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $9.84 |
| 10-11 12:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $4.64 |
| 10-11 12:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4676310479 | $9.87 |
| 10-11 12:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999879 | $9.49 |
| 10-11 12:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5068615135 | $9.69 |
| 10-11 12:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | SELL | 0.2272124756 | $5.83 |