PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCE3247d0665F045B0Ba06746d73103A5Cc655757-1758173892543

0xce3247d0665f045b0ba06746d73103a5cc655757

Realised P&L
$3.8k
Volume
$128.2k
Markets traded
196
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded196
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Dplus KIA0.5600.605$423.50+$31.50
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Anyone's Legend0.6600.665$399.00+$3.00
LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · T10.8700.875$262.50+$1.50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Bilibili Gaming0.8300.825$247.50−$1.50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Hanwha Life Esports0.7900.785$235.50−$1.50
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Gen.G0.8000.785$235.50−$4.50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6300.625$3.13−$0.03
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6530.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5350.000$0.00−$300.00
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.4900.000$0.00−$300.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2010.000$0.00−$40.20
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6000.000$0.00−$300.00
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina0.4200.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$300.00
Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany0.4600.000$0.00−$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 05:53LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.8$240.00
10-19 05:52LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.87$261.00
10-19 05:52LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.79$237.00
10-19 05:51LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.83$249.00
10-19 05:33LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.56$392.00
10-19 05:32LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.66$396.00
10-16 06:50Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.64$640.00
10-16 06:43Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.65$650.00
10-16 03:412026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.63$3.15
10-11 13:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.4$9.84
10-11 12:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSELL0.22$4.64
10-11 12:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.4676310479$9.87
10-11 12:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.7199999879$9.49
10-11 12:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.5068615135$9.69
10-11 12:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSELL0.2272124756$5.83