R18helloworld
0xce316f28ac125b4eb96f30f629bc14d7b0ea19c4
- Realised P&L
- $-63.59
- Volume
- $3.50M
- Markets traded
- 7,171
- Open portfolio
- $232.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,171
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.74at 0.886Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
- +$89.11at 0.003Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
- +$84.77at 0.021Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?
- +$74.96at 0.015Nothing Ever Happens: November
- +$56.50at 0.007Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 12:48 | Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 08-28 18:20 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Real Madrid next? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-28 17:35 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Real Madrid next? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-28 15:48 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Real Madrid next? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-28 12:06 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Real Madrid next? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-15 07:41 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.13 |
| 08-14 11:15 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.27 |
| 08-13 13:15 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.03 |
| 08-11 21:42 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.23 |
| 08-11 16:44 | Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.076 | $0.64 |
| 08-11 16:40 | Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.076 | $0.64 |
| 08-11 16:36 | Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.076 | $0.66 |
| 08-11 16:32 | Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.076 | $0.78 |
| 08-11 16:29 | Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.076 | $0.51 |
| 08-11 13:32 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.30 |