0xce313775a548425af05f858bb3f87b32db45a72f
0xce313775a548425af05f858bb3f87b32db45a72f
- Realised P&L
- $2.87
- Volume
- $72.97
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $13.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.875 | $8.61 | +$2.61 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.625 | $4.43 | +$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.11at 0.301Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$-5.24at 0.291Will Trudy peak at Category 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 15:44 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.5999999718 | $4.25 |
| 10-16 18:52 | Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon? | BUY | 0.6099999736 | $6.00 |
| 10-15 22:42 | Will Trudy peak at Category 3? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.33 |
| 10-14 21:37 | Will Trudy peak at Category 3? | BUY | 0.2699999906 | $6.00 |
| 10-14 18:56 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.2799999966 | $3.25 |