PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

before2027

0xce305d7fc93e0e1f2271e55b5f03e63748b63760

Realised P&L
$7.0k
Volume
$1.45M
Markets traded
10,925
Open portfolio
$191.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,925
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:16Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by October 31?SELL0.01$0.12
09-17 17:16DPR Korea vs. Japan: O/U 3.5SELL0.04$0.00
09-17 16:24Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by October 31?SELL0.011$0.07
09-17 16:24Juventus FC vs. NEC: NEC O/U 2.5SELL0.025$0.14
09-16 18:14Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference?SELL0.5$0.52
09-16 15:52Will Luther Burden III have 824.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.48$0.49
09-16 05:51Mercer vs. Georgia TechSELL0.01$0.07
09-15 19:30Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 20?SELL0.73$0.63
09-15 15:53Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Ipswich Town FC O/U 2.5SELL0.03$0.51
09-15 09:191st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)SELL0.53$1.17
09-15 05:571st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)SELL0.54$2.70
09-14 11:18Will Schalke 04 finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?SELL0.043$0.86
09-14 05:53Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by December 31?SELL0.13$1.00
09-13 22:03Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta DreamSELL0.07$1.08
09-13 18:15Delaware State vs. South FloridaSELL0.01$0.07