0xCE26527975d04Ba058ca1C40020488638edBBBeB-1779390548189
0xce26527975d04ba058ca1c40020488638edbbbeb
- Realised P&L
- $-174.17
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $92.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.195 | $78.76 | +$18.76 |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.030 | $13.34 | −$21.66 |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-18.70at 0.083Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
- +$-88.45at 0.113No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 23:49 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1485505982 | $60.00 |
| 06-24 18:15 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | SELL | 0.0155498966 | $14.06 |
| 06-16 13:47 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.08 | $35.00 |
| 06-16 13:36 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0312728002 | $11.30 |
| 06-16 13:16 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | BUY | 0.369 | $6.64 |
| 06-16 13:14 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | BUY | 0.366 | $10.61 |
| 06-16 13:13 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | BUY | 0.366 | $1.83 |
| 06-16 13:12 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | BUY | 0.0740723259 | $50.00 |
| 05-27 10:42 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1379999923 | $15.00 |
| 05-22 16:31 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.059383438 | $15.00 |
| 05-22 16:30 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | BUY | 0.1099999938 | $15.00 |
| 05-22 16:11 | Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 05-21 23:27 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.00 |
| 05-21 23:23 | Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? | BUY | 0.1741481435 | $40.00 |