PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCE26527975d04Ba058ca1C40020488638edBBBeB-1779390548189

0xce26527975d04ba058ca1c40020488638edbbbeb

Realised P&L
$-174.17
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$92.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1480.195$78.76+$18.76
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · Yes0.0800.030$13.34−$21.66
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? · Yes0.1560.000$0.00−$60.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 23:49Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1485505982$60.00
06-24 18:15No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?SELL0.0155498966$14.06
06-16 13:47José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?BUY0.08$35.00
06-16 13:36Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0312728002$11.30
06-16 13:16No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?BUY0.369$6.64
06-16 13:14No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?BUY0.366$10.61
06-16 13:13No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?BUY0.366$1.83
06-16 13:12No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?BUY0.0740723259$50.00
05-27 10:42Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1379999923$15.00
05-22 16:31Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?BUY0.059383438$15.00
05-22 16:30No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?BUY0.1099999938$15.00
05-22 16:11Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
05-21 23:27Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.006$5.00
05-21 23:23Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?BUY0.1741481435$40.00