0xce25987e7748ca74653616325860b674fbe94f23
0xce25987e7748ca74653616325860b674fbe94f23
- Realised P&L
- $-32.60
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $1.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.57at 0.404Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-10-11?
- +$7.33at 0.414Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-11?
- +$0.80at 0.919Will Finland win on 2026-09-26?
- +$-0.02at 1.002Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 13?
- +$-0.10at 1.003Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.010112314 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 19:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 19:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 13? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 16:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.9979999084 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 17:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 17:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0026874496 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0048771923 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0046297154 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 07:33 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.0209999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 04:57 | Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-10-11? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.81 |
| 10-12 02:15 | Will América de Cali win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 02:15 | Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 19:03 | Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |