merau
0xce1c6ffe8d7a39c96f8a357ab2c56129934fa699
- Realised P&L
- $-47.24
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $2.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $180 in September? · No | 0.140 | 0.125 | $2.50 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.100Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.229Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.110Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?
- +$-0.00at 0.110Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?
- +$-0.00at 0.110Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:32 | Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 09-12 01:28 | Will Viking reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 09-11 05:18 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-11 03:15 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 11:22 | Will "The Whisper Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 09:59 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 09-10 09:25 | Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 09-10 02:39 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.1625 | $3.25 |
| 09-10 01:33 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of September 7 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.56 |
| 09-09 10:28 | Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.151 | $3.02 |
| 09-09 04:25 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.28 |
| 09-09 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.43 |
| 09-09 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 04:29 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 30? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 09-08 03:12 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.97 |