PolyBot

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Traders

pavlik337

0xce1b991cef5011fb0a7d2c52583caf84c9e8132f

Realised P&L
$-192.35
Volume
$184.3k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$40.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.027$40.50$184.50
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00$46.37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$42.50
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8? · No0.0150.000$0.00$79.40
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$19.20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · No0.0620.000$0.00$79.07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$24.70
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$30.69
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? · Up0.0080.000$0.00$33.00
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$74.00
Will Backpack launch a token on March 23? · No0.2880.000$0.00$561.32
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.0020.000$0.00$88.99
Iran leadership change by March 31? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$44.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · No0.0500.000$0.00$100.00
Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$20.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-21 22:04Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?BUY0.0477967178$93.05
03-14 19:52Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?BUY0.011$2.64
03-14 19:50Iran leadership change by March 31?BUY0.22$44.00
03-14 19:49Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?BUY0.17$42.50
03-14 19:48US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.37$74.00
03-11 21:22Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?BUY0.07$56.00
03-11 21:21US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?BUY0.06$91.79
03-11 21:19Iran leadership change by March 13?BUY0.055$33.00
03-11 21:16Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?BUY0.096$19.20
03-11 21:15US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?BUY0.22$22.06
03-09 22:20Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)BUY0.013$11.05
03-09 22:19Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?BUY0.016$6.58
03-09 22:18Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?BUY0.02799098$27.99
03-09 14:11Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)BUY0.009$28.80
03-08 16:39Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?BUY0.06$18.00