0xce19dbf82fa0a080df7c140088a2ca533165c6d0
0xce19dbf82fa0a080df7c140088a2ca533165c6d0
- Realised P&L
- $-7.62
- Volume
- $746.74
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $40.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.115 | $8.21 | +$3.21 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.925 | $7.01 | +$2.01 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.368 | 0.495 | $6.72 | +$1.72 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.905 | $5.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will Solana dip to $90 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.880 | $5.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.983 | 0.983 | $5.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.275 | $2.41 | −$2.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.14at 0.630Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.89at 0.400Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 8?
- +$5.71at 0.474Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?
- +$3.95at 0.565Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
- +$3.94at 0.839Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0468097222 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 17:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 05:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 05:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.5740528129 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 00:01 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3683644486 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 00:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1? | BUY | 0.7119999909 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 00:00 | Will Solana dip to $90 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 23:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.660396029 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 23:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 00:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 11:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 25? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 10:58 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 20? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 07:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 07:29 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 09:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.8917812338 | $5.00 |