PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MagicPhil63

0xce18fa185ad4730d1a43035e97f3df77cd821a4a

Realised P&L
$-46.93
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$121.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) · Islam Makhachev0.7400.735$73.50$0.50
UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card) · Diego Ferreira0.6200.605$48.40$1.20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$140.36
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$129.00
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3550.000$0.00$17.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 10:57UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.74$8.88
08-02 10:56UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.62$49.60
07-31 10:26UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.6$60.00
07-19 01:45Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.595$51.77
07-18 10:47France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.69$46.23
07-12 07:28Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.43$129.00
07-11 12:41UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.45$22.50
07-11 11:17Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.75$75.00
07-11 11:17Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.58$116.00
07-11 11:14Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.58$24.36
07-11 11:12Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.355$17.75
07-10 08:16Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7375$36.88
07-10 08:14Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.5975$59.75
07-09 05:04Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6$60.00