MagicPhil63
0xce18fa185ad4730d1a43035e97f3df77cd821a4a
- Realised P&L
- $-46.93
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $121.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) · Islam Makhachev | 0.740 | 0.735 | $73.50 | −$0.50 |
| UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card) · Diego Ferreira | 0.620 | 0.605 | $48.40 | −$1.20 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.36 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$129.00 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.355 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.25at 0.599Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$40.00at 0.600UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$35.23at 0.595Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$27.50at 0.450UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$25.00at 0.750Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 10:57 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.74 | $8.88 |
| 08-02 10:56 | UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.62 | $49.60 |
| 07-31 10:26 | UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 07-19 01:45 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.595 | $51.77 |
| 07-18 10:47 | France vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.69 | $46.23 |
| 07-12 07:28 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.43 | $129.00 |
| 07-11 12:41 | UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 07-11 11:17 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 07-11 11:17 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.58 | $116.00 |
| 07-11 11:14 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.58 | $24.36 |
| 07-11 11:12 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.355 | $17.75 |
| 07-10 08:16 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7375 | $36.88 |
| 07-10 08:14 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5975 | $59.75 |
| 07-09 05:04 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |