asfdt14
0xce18690522295059238db8ec3255753c95f33c84
- Realised P&L
- $-225.55
- Volume
- $45.5k
- Markets traded
- 648
- Open portfolio
- $4.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded648
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.44at 0.044Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
- +$30.01at 0.115US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5
- +$23.55at 0.070Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
- +$17.80at 0.110FBC Melgar vs. CD Los Chankas: O/U 2.5
- +$15.08at 0.130Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 09:47 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.22 |
| 09-01 09:46 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.87 |
| 09-01 09:38 | Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.60 |
| 09-01 09:36 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.80 |
| 08-27 09:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.0389392614 | $0.80 |
| 08-08 00:04 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 in August? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.60 |
| 08-08 00:04 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 in August? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.11 |
| 08-06 20:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | SELL | 0.041 | $0.22 |
| 08-01 18:50 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in August? | SELL | 0.054 | $0.41 |
| 08-01 12:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.53 |
| 08-01 12:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.93 |
| 08-01 12:30 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.10 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.02 |
| 08-01 12:29 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.10 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.86 |
| 08-01 12:08 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.90 |
| 08-01 11:57 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.804 | $1.83 |