mon2026
0xce1495504d3249910c2c2fc800f96f97bb1de38f
- Realised P&L
- $769.88
- Volume
- $918.3k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.036Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.379Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$348.60at 0.297Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
- +$47.87at 0.172Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$19.58at 0.893Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 06:19 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.07 | $64.75 |
| 10-08 06:18 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 10-08 06:12 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.0101685393 | $1.81 |
| 10-08 06:11 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.0168092312 | $37.61 |
| 10-08 06:11 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.0240029847 | $120.95 |
| 10-08 06:11 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.0250200497 | $251.86 |
| 10-08 06:10 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.0283803729 | $205.07 |
| 10-08 06:10 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.0337845095 | $179.15 |
| 10-08 06:09 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $120.99 |
| 06-23 02:27 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.095 | $32.77 |
| 06-23 02:26 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.101 | $22.97 |
| 06-23 02:26 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.102 | $10.21 |
| 06-23 02:25 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.095 | $35.15 |
| 06-23 02:25 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.102 | $1.73 |
| 06-23 02:24 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.103 | $35.41 |