mon2026
0xce1495504d3249910c2c2fc800f96f97bb1de38f
- Realised P&L
- $662.45
- Volume
- $883.0k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $9.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.036Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.379Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$348.60at 0.297Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
- +$47.87at 0.172Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$19.58at 0.893Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 02:27 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.095 | $32.77 |
| 06-23 02:26 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.101 | $22.97 |
| 06-23 02:26 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.102 | $10.21 |
| 06-23 02:25 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.095 | $35.15 |
| 06-23 02:25 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.102 | $1.73 |
| 06-23 02:24 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.103 | $35.41 |
| 06-22 21:55 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.103 | $91.22 |
| 06-22 21:55 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.104 | $62.90 |
| 06-21 18:26 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.095 | $56.76 |
| 06-21 18:25 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.1066552447 | $57.49 |
| 06-21 18:25 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.109 | $5.61 |
| 06-21 18:24 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $30.56 |
| 06-21 15:45 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0922986284 | $97.98 |
| 06-21 15:45 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.1062365153 | $107.87 |
| 06-19 19:08 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.091 | $81.92 |