BigHC
0xce1041674adcc9e71d82a5aa527bb1eb2484ef76
- Realised P&L
- $-686.58
- Volume
- $97.3k
- Markets traded
- 207
- Open portfolio
- $721.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded207
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$486.73at 0.143Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$81.83at 0.518Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$67.56at 0.654Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18?
- +$49.44at 0.110Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
- +$48.47at 0.788Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 15:05 | Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.21 |
| 04-06 15:03 | Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.84 | $10.12 |
| 04-06 14:59 | Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.82 | $334.82 |
| 04-06 14:57 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7460691351 | $224.46 |
| 03-31 16:21 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.01 |
| 03-31 16:19 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.55 |
| 03-31 16:18 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $76.13 |
| 03-31 15:11 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.17 |
| 03-31 15:09 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $13.45 |
| 03-31 15:07 | Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $2.78 |
| 03-31 15:05 | Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $7.65 |
| 03-31 15:04 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SELL | 0.67 | $1.66 |
| 03-31 15:01 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SELL | 0.6853913221 | $134.43 |
| 03-31 14:59 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 03-31 12:38 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.67 |