0xce0c3af6f524a82ac6b4afe9967418ca1317d839
0xce0c3af6f524a82ac6b4afe9967418ca1317d839
- Realised P&L
- $-10.6k
- Volume
- $1.73M
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $0.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.001 | $0.14 | −$47.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.730Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
- +$1.0kat 0.570Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$1.0kat 0.827Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
- +$692.49at 0.829Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?
- +$603.07at 0.443Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 23:11 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.1399999997 | $9.08 |
| 10-02 22:39 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.1799999972 | $9.13 |
| 10-02 22:35 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.1799999996 | $29.73 |
| 08-23 23:28 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.61 |
| 08-23 23:10 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.4599999793 | $5.34 |
| 08-23 23:10 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.4599999869 | $18.25 |
| 08-23 23:10 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.4599999978 | $25.14 |
| 08-23 23:08 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $20.00 |
| 08-23 23:08 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 23:07 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 23:06 | Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-23? | SELL | 0.95 | $52.78 |
| 08-23 23:05 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 08-23 23:05 | Will Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.5 | $61.66 |
| 08-23 23:01 | Will Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999899 | $16.02 |
| 08-23 23:01 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23? | SELL | 0.13 | $17.48 |