PolyBot

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Traders

0xce0c3af6f524a82ac6b4afe9967418ca1317d839

0xce0c3af6f524a82ac6b4afe9967418ca1317d839

Realised P&L
$-10.6k
Volume
$1.73M
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$0.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.1710.001$0.14−$47.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 23:11Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.1399999997$9.08
10-02 22:39Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.1799999972$9.13
10-02 22:35Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.1799999996$29.73
08-23 23:28Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.16$11.61
08-23 23:10Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.4599999793$5.34
08-23 23:10Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.4599999869$18.25
08-23 23:10Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.4599999978$25.14
08-23 23:08Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.5099999911$20.00
08-23 23:08Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.4399999894$10.00
08-23 23:07Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.5$10.00
08-23 23:06Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-23?SELL0.95$52.78
08-23 23:05Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.4099999947$20.00
08-23 23:05Will Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?SELL0.5$61.66
08-23 23:01Will Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?BUY0.3299999899$16.02
08-23 23:01Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23?SELL0.13$17.48