Shinshinshin
0xce054173773d0a7d325079e93f1d969c8b23540c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $56.6k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $62.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.051 | $62.48 | −$72.13 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$128.98 |
| Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.30 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.350Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
- +$-12.68at 0.038Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea before September?
- +$-210.50at 0.086Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$-280.54at 0.076Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$-2.6kat 0.399Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 13:13 | Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | BUY | 0.0403380939 | $67.30 |
| 03-09 06:50 | Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? | BUY | 0.1109463414 | $134.61 |
| 06-08 12:37 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025? | BUY | 0.1 | $58.32 |
| 06-08 12:36 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea before September? | SELL | 0.031472921 | $58.32 |
| 06-05 17:54 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025? | BUY | 0.099339238 | $70.66 |
| 06-05 17:54 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea before September? | BUY | 0.0383179619 | $71.00 |
| 06-03 19:06 | Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | BUY | 0.001 | $13.27 |
| 06-03 17:53 | Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | BUY | 0.0019686475 | $2.70 |
| 06-03 16:11 | Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.47 |
| 06-03 16:10 | Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.23 |
| 05-26 20:34 | Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | BUY | 0.0862329371 | $212.97 |
| 05-14 19:14 | Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | BUY | 0.1099999894 | $8.44 |
| 05-10 16:20 | Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | SELL | 0.002 | $7.59 |
| 04-12 08:58 | Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | BUY | 0.0534185007 | $70.00 |
| 04-12 08:56 | Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | SELL | 0.24 | $70.85 |