danielgrah
0xce0242ee73547c72f2da7d4156cb9eb08257cb89
- Realised P&L
- $50.13
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $428.47
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? · No | 0.982 | 0.998 | $140.65 | +$2.19 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? · No | 0.986 | 0.992 | $130.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in October? · No | 0.990 | 0.991 | $99.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will BNB reach $1,100 in October? · No | 0.962 | 0.984 | $58.05 | +$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.21at 0.946Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$4.64at 0.958Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.72at 0.987Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in July?
- +$2.63at 0.991Will BNB dip to $300 in August?
- +$2.28at 0.992Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:25 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? | BUY | 0.982 | $133.55 |
| 10-08 19:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9859620767 | $130.00 |
| 10-08 19:24 | Will Solana dip to $60 in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 10-08 19:22 | Will BNB reach $1,100 in October? | BUY | 0.97 | $25.88 |
| 10-08 19:22 | Will BNB reach $1,100 in October? | BUY | 0.96 | $24.00 |
| 10-08 19:21 | Will BNB reach $1,100 in October? | BUY | 0.94 | $6.87 |
| 10-08 19:20 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? | BUY | 0.981 | $4.91 |
| 09-17 12:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? | BUY | 0.9889999307 | $12.00 |
| 09-17 12:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? | BUY | 0.988 | $37.78 |
| 09-17 12:29 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.989 | $49.99 |
| 09-08 16:26 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9579999998 | $59.90 |
| 09-08 16:24 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.9703247808 | $59.75 |
| 09-08 16:22 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9579999995 | $39.00 |
| 09-08 16:21 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $6.83 |
| 09-08 16:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9849999958 | $130.00 |