PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ovvvwf

0xcdfdb699776138fa2e6ad89442cb486bd31d8b51

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$74.6k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2290.771$694.35+$488.24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.962$576.90+$78.90
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1930.503$141.99+$87.56
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1060.105$105.50$0.50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3590.161$80.25$99.14
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.2820.091$45.50$95.47
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$44.83
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2710.000$0.00$108.40
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? · No0.8390.000$0.00$62.77
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$114.92
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$107.10
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$102.59
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? · No0.3200.000$0.00$64.00
Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$88.00
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$87.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-08 22:21Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.3$60.00
06-01 18:53Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.193$54.43
05-29 21:13Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.271$108.40
05-29 21:12NBA: SGA Award ParlayBUY0.6062648$303.13
05-05 23:22Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.1692727273$27.93
05-05 23:21Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.1658$49.74
05-05 23:21Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.157$12.56
05-05 23:21Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.156$3.12
05-03 19:06Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?SELL0.0630826635$55.01
05-03 13:52Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.134612946$73.04
05-03 13:52Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.131$17.03
05-03 13:52Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.13$22.25
05-03 13:52Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.1281804511$12.79
05-03 13:52Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.122$8.41
05-03 13:51Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.12$1.44